Correlation Analysis: USDCAD + USDCHF = CADCHF
CADCHF is moving in a downtrend forming lower highs, lower lows in 1-hour timeframe chart.
Now, CADCHF starts to fall from a lower high of the downtrend line. In another side, USDCAD reached the Lower Low in 4-Hour timeframe Chart. 

What is Currency Correlation?
- Currency correlation in forex trading measures the degree to which two currency pairs move relative to each other. It’s expressed as a correlation coefficient between -1 and +1.
- +1: Perfect positive correlation (pairs move in tandem).
- 0: No correlation (pairs move with no relationship).
- -1: Perfect negative correlation (pairs move in opposite directions).
USD Correlations
The US Dollar is the world’s reserve currency and is involved in approximately 88% of all forex trades. This means it has significant correlations with other major currencies:
- EUR/USD (Euro): Typically has a strong negative correlation. When the USD strengthens, the EUR often weakens, and vice versa.
- GBP/USD (British Pound): Often has a strong positive correlation in the short-term, though this can weaken over longer periods.
- USD/JPY (Japanese Yen): Traditionally has a strong positive correlation, but that may change depending on global risk sentiment (when risk is high, JPY is considered a safe haven and may strengthen against the USD).
- USD/CHF (Swiss Franc): Strong negative correlation, with the CHF also acting as a safe-haven currency in times of economic uncertainty.
- AUD/USD (Australian Dollar) and NZD/USD (New Zealand Dollar): Positive correlation with the USD, but influenced significantly by commodity prices (Australia and New Zealand are big commodity exporters).
Why Correlations Matter in Forex Trading
- Diversification: Understanding correlations helps you avoid buying or selling currency pairs that move in the same direction. True diversification means choosing pairs with weaker or negative correlations.
- Risk Management: Knowing correlations can help offset risk. For example, if you have a long position on EUR/USD, a short position on USD/CHF could act as a partial hedge since they typically have a negative correlation.
- Trade Confirmation: If you are considering a EUR/USD trade, strong movement in the same direction on GBP/USD (positive correlation) can add confluence to your trade idea.
How to Find Currency Correlations
- Correlation Tools: Many online forex brokers and charting platforms offer built-in correlation calculators or matrices.
- Websites: Several websites specialize in calculating currency correlations, such as:
- Myfxbook Correlation Calculator
- OANDA Correlation Table
Important Notes
- Correlations are dynamic: Market conditions change, and correlations fluctuate over time. It’s essential to regularly check current correlations rather than relying solely on historical data.
- Other influences: Correlations are a helpful tool, but they represent only one aspect of market analysis. Fundamental factors, market news, and economic data also play a crucial role


