The USDCNH is a currency pair made up of the US dollar and the Chinese yuan. The US dollar, abbreviated as USD, is the country’s official currency. The Chinese yuan, abbreviated CNH, is the country’s official currency. They come together to form the currency pair USDCNH.
This currency pair is deemed exotic since China is still viewed as a developing country and is paired with the US. It is also the forex market’s most popular exotic forex pair. The USDCNH currency pair is quite popular since both currencies are highly correlated. The USDCNH is very volatile in the market, making it a good pair for swing traders to utilize by analyzing long trading movements.
The United States Dollar
Although the introduction of the dollar is not required, it would be improper not to do so. The US dollar, abbreviated as USD, is the most actively traded currency in the world. It is the most widely used currency and is frequently utilized as a reference currency in all monetary research. USD pairs are classified as either major pairs or exotic pairs. The Federal Reserve Bank, or “Feds,” as they are more often known, issues this money.
After the United States ran out of coinage to fund the Civil War, the first paper dollar was made in 1862. The USD is now extensively recognized as a form of payment in a wide range of financial markets throughout the world. Several countries have converted their currencies to dollars in order to enhance relations with this massive superpower. New Zealand, Canada, and Australia are among these countries. Because the US dollar is the most commonly used currency in the world, every big economic event anywhere in the globe has an effect on it.
The Chinese Yuan
The Chinese Yuan is denoted by CNH in the forex space for the offshore market Yuan. The inshore market Yuan is denoted by CNY. Yuan has been in existence in several forms over the years since the 16th century. The rate for the Yuan used to be fixed to silver back in the early days up until 1935.
The first paper notes came into existence in 1948. The People’s Bank of China is responsible for the issuance of the Yuan notes. After inflation was brought under control, the Yuan was revalued in 1955. The value of the CNH was fixed to the US dollar until 2005. Ever since the CNH was introduced in the international markets, it quickly became the 8th most popular currency in 2013. It is currently the fifth most popular currency in the forex space.
Why Trade USDCNH
The United States is the largest receiver of exports in the world. China is the largest exporter in the world. When these two combine into the USDCNH currency pair, they form one of the most correlated pairs in the market. Here is why you should trade the USDCNH pair:
The USDCNH is a one-of-a-kind currency combination. As a result, it is exposed to significantly different market circumstances than the other forex pairs. Most of the time, the USDCNH enjoys rather stable market conditions. This is mostly due to the fact that it is an exotic pair with a low trading volume. It does, however, exhibit evidence of instability when a major event occurs. The good news is that these turbulent periods can be predicted. This implies that professionals ahead of the dynamic duo can forecast when this currency pair would confront turbulent market conditions. As a result, the USDCNH is quite popular with range traders, who earn swiftly during periods of volatility.
Currency pairs like the USDCNH have substantial correlations with other market assets, which is a compelling incentive to trade them. This is seen in the Chinese Yuan, which has strong linkages to commodities such as electronics and furniture.
This is because China is a major exporter of these commodities. This is also true with the US Dollar, which is linked to commodities such as aviation and ships. As a result, trading this pair becomes much simpler, since if we understand the direction of the commodities market, we can easily grasp the direction of the USDCNH market. We’ll go through how these commodities will impact the USDCNH’s movement in greater depth later.
Exotic Currency Pair
In the forex market, the USDCNH is an exotic currency pair. The US dollar and the currency of a developing or less popular country constitute an exotic currency pair. In this scenario, the United States and China collaborate to develop the USDCNH currency pair. An exotic currency pair expands the forex market’s trading potential. Tracking major and minor currency pair market swings all of the time may become tedious and monotonous. By trading unusual currency pairs, traders diversify their portfolios. The USDCNH is one of the most popular exotic currency pairs in the market, as well as one of the most intriguing to trade.
USDCNH Trading Tips
Since the United States and China are highly correlated with one another, the USDCNH pair may require some special trading tips since their markets can get quite unpredictable. Here are some top tips for the USDCNH pair:
Although you may trade the USDCNH currency pair at any moment the market is open, there are particular times when the market circumstances are excellent for this dynamic couple. The best time to trade this pair is when both the New York and Tokyo markets are open for business. This would be evaluated between 9 a.m. and 6 p.m. GMT for Tokyo and 8 a.m. to 5 p.m. GMT for New York. The reason this timing is so good is that both the United States and China will be awake between now and then. As a result, timing is optimal since any changes in the economic or monetary policies of these specific countries would take place inside this time zone. As a result, while trading the USDCNH currency pair, it is critical to consider trade timing.
A trading approach in which a deal is opened and closed on the same day is known as day trading. Before the market closes, all transactions, whether successful or not, must be completed. Scalping is a popular trading method for this type. Traders would open a BUY and SELL position for the same currency pair at the same rate. This allows them to benefit no matter how the market evolves. They profit from their opposite position as the market falls. This method works well for the USDCNH, which may be volatile at times. During times of volatility, day trading, particularly scalping, is an excellent technique to profit from shifting market circumstances.
Swing trading requires keeping an asset for one or more days in order to profit from price movements. USDCNH is usually characterized by price volatility that build well-defined ranges over extended time periods. As a result, the pair lends itself well to swing trading. Swing trading USDCNH involves deciding on a range within which the pair’s movement will be limited. After determining the price range, you might sell when the price reaches the top of the range (resistance) and buy when the price reaches the bottom of the range (support). When a pair is trading inside a range, it is common to predict that when the price reaches the resistance or support level, it will not break through but will instead begin moving in the opposite direction of the barrier or support.
Factors Affecting USDCNH
As we’ve mentioned previously, the USDCNH pair is correlated to quite a few different industries due to being a large exporter and producer of a big chunk of the market. Here are the factors affecting USDCNH:
The Federal Reserve Bank and the People’s Bank of China are both to blame for any volatility in the USDCNH market. The FRB and PBC issue monthly reports and remarks discussing policy developments. These studies also provide economic and monetary projections for the near future.
Any good FRB outcomes will have an influence on the USDCNH currency pair. Any good PNC results, on the other hand, will have an adverse influence on the USDCNH currency pair. Representatives from these specific banks also give presentations on a regular basis in which they discuss these outcomes in further depth. These remarks are equally as crucial, if not more, in deciding the direction of the USDCNH market. The President of the Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, is well-known for his talks. Yi Gang, the Governor of the People’s Bank of China, is well-known for his talks.
The Electronics Industry
China is among the largest producers and exporters of valuable commodities such as electronics and electrical equipment. Therefore their economy greatly depends on the export of these electrical products in order to thrive and increase in value. Any changes to the market for these commodities such as demand or prices will have a direct impact on the USDCNH pair. If the demand for electronic increases, China will export them more often, and therefore, USDCNH will decrease in value. If the demand for electronics decreases, China will suffer as they wouldn’t be able to export them as much, and therefore, USDCNH will increase in value.
The Ships Industry
The United States exports and manufactures a substantial portion of boats, ships, and ship parts. As a result, its economy is heavily reliant on the export of these vital products in order to survive and grow in value. Any changes in the market for these items, such as changes in price or demand, will have an immediate influence on the USDCNH pair. If demand for ships rises, the United States will export them more frequently, causing the USDCNH to appreciate in value. If demand for boats declines, the US suffers since it will be unable to export as many, causing the USDCNH to lose value.
The Furniture Industry
China is among the largest producers and exporters of valuable commodities such as furniture and decor. Therefore their economy greatly depends on the export of these household products in order to thrive and increase in value. Any changes to the market for these commodities such as demand or prices will have a direct impact on the USDCNH pair. If the demand for furniture increases, China will export them more often, and therefore, USDCNH will decrease in value. If the demand for furniture decreases, China will suffer as they wouldn’t be able to export them as much, and therefore, USDCNH will increase in value.
The Aerospace Industry
The United States is a major manufacturer and exporter of airplanes and aviation parts. As a result, its economy is largely dependent on the export of these goods in order to develop and expand in value. Any changes in the aviation sector, such as supply or demand, would immediately affect the USDCNH pair. If demand for planes rises, the United States will export more of them, causing the USDINR to rise in value. If demand falls, the US suffers since it will be unable to export as much, causing the USDCNH to lose value.
Gross Domestic Product
GDP, or Gross Domestic Product, is a measure of a country’s overall economic performance. It has a substantial impact on the USDCNH pair’s volatility. A rising GDP statistic suggests that the economy is doing well. This, in turn, would encourage investors to invest in the country’s economy, increasing the value of the country’s currency.
If the US economy grows strongly, the US dollar rises, leading the USDCNH to appreciate as well. In the case of the Chinese yuan, however, the opposite is true. China has one of the best GDP values in the world. If China’s GDP increases, the CNH rises, leading the USDCNH to decline in value.
The Plastics Industry
China is among the largest producers and exporters of valuable commodities such as plastic products. Therefore their economy greatly depends on the export of these plastic products in order to thrive and increase in value. Any changes to the market for these commodities such as demand or prices will have a direct impact on the USDCNH pair. If the demand for plastic increases, China will export them more often, and therefore, USDCNH will decrease in value. If the demand for plastic decreases, China will suffer as they wouldn’t be able to export them as much, and therefore, USDCNH will increase in value.
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