US NFP Forecast – Gold and Currency Next move

US Dollar: US ADP numbers came at higher than expected

US ADP Non-Farm employment change came at 800k versus 400k expected and Waiting on US NFP.

USDCHF is moving in the Symmetrical triangle pattern and the market has rebounded from the horizontal support area of the pattern.

USDCHF is moving in the Symmetrical triangle pattern and the market has rebounded from the horizontal support area of the pattern.

Turkish Finance minister has praised the financial steps taken by the Turkish Government to curb inflation rates to lower in recent days. 

Based on positive numbers, Friday Non-Farm payrolls are also expected in good numbers.

US Dollar proved stronger momentum as the Omicron variant shows a less deadly variant than the previous variant.

Yesterday FOMC meeting minutes hammered most counter pairs of US Dollars and Global stock markets to tumble.

Despite this, US Dollar proved stronger momentum as the Omicron variant shows a less deadly variant than the previous variant.

Gold: Latvian Central bank Governor Speech and US NFP scheduled 

XAUUSD Gold price is moving in an Ascending channel and has rebounded from the higher low area of the ascending channel.

XAUUSD Gold price is moving in an Ascending channel and has rebounded from the higher low area of the ascending channel.

XAGUSD Silver price has broken the ascending triangle pattern.

XAGUSD Silver price has broken the ascending triangle pattern.

Latvian Central bank Governor and ECB Governing Council member Martins Kazaks said ECB is ready to raise rates and cut stimulus if required.

Latvian Central bank Governor and ECB Governing Council member Martins Kazaks said ECB is ready to raise rates and cut stimulus if required

This word makes the Euro and Omicron variant optimistic is not more deadly as the Delta variant.

US FOMC committee said high inflation numbers and the more robust labour market in US Economy would no longer need net asset purchases for a more extended period.

So, tapering at a faster pace and rate hikes is more important for the developed economy.

And German Bund yields also make higher along with US 10-year yields prices.

UK Pound: Omicron Variant won’t affect the UK’s economy

GBPUSD is moving in the Descending channel and the market has reached the lower high area of the channel.

GBPUSD is moving in the Descending channel and the market has reached the lower high area of the channel 2

The Omicron variant won’t affect the UK’s economy more than the previous one; Bank of England expected another rate hike in January to curb inflation rates soon.

UK and EU still talk over Northern Ireland protocol progressing; no results have yet been reached.

UK and EU still talk over Northern Ireland protocol progressing; no results have yet been reached.

And Article 16 might be triggered if the EU does not meet UK conditions as expected decisions from analysts.

The UK crossed 1lakh cases daily, deadly cases are meagre numbers, and Hospitalizations are also in low numbers.

EURO: German Factory Orders rose above expected numbers

EURUSD is moving in an ascending triangle pattern and the market has rebounded from the higher low area of the pattern.

EURUSD is moving in an ascending triangle pattern and the market has rebounded from the higher low area of the pattern

German Factory Orders rose to 3.7% MoM in November and a yearly basis 1.3% rise in November.

German Factory orders rose numbers shows Eurozone manufacturing activity improvements and inflation going to increase as more consumption from the public.

EUR Machine building plant of the company Karcher Alfred Karcher GmbH Co. KG Assembly cleaning machines WINNENDEN GERMANY

Contracts for Goods made in Germany jumped to 3.7% on the month vs 2.1% expected and -5.8% last month.

Germany factory orders made less impact on EURUSD last day, Despite US FOMC meeting minutes dragging the gains of Euro against US Dollar.

Canadian Dollar: Omicron variant spreads in Canada

Crude oil is moving in an Ascending channel and the market has reached the higher high area of the channel

Crude oil is moving in an Ascending channel and the market has reached the higher high area of the channel

Canadian Dollar makes higher after US Oil hits Bullish numbers.

And Covid-19 infections are higher in Canada, tightening restrictions across Canada to control the Omicron variant.

CAD PEOPLE PRACTICE SOCIAL DISTANCING WAITING IN LINE TO GET INTO BANK DUE TO COVID 19 PANDEMIC TORONTO ONTARIO CANADA

And Bank of Canada expected to do tapering & rate hikes in the coming quarters; Canadian employment data will publish this week.

USDCAD shows solid come back from 1.2700 area after US 10 yr yield rose to 1.72% as massive sell-off in the Bond market last day.

And FOMC meeting minutes makes Investors’ fears that rate hikes would be faster than the expected outlook.

Japanese Yen: Bank of Japan ready to inject more funds in Financial markets

EURJPY is moving in an Ascending channel and the market has rebounded from the higher low area of the channel

EURJPY is moving in an Ascending channel and the market has rebounded from the higher low area of the channel

Japan and Global Economic recovery is on track.

Bank of Japan will pump JPY 2 trillion via a temporary bond-buying program.

Bank of Japan will pump JPY 2 trillion via a temporary bond buying program

And 10-Year JGB yields hit 0.105% highest since November 2021.

The Treasury yields are set to higher as Bonds sell-off by investors on the expectations of Central banks hiking interest rates.

And Bank of Japan could diversify the funds to financial markets to adjust the Bond buying programs from Sellers.

US, UK and EU Bonds buyers are selling their bonds due to rate hike expectations in close quarters.

Australian Dollar: China Services PMI came at higher than expected

AUDNZD is moving in an Ascending channel and the market has reached the horizontal support area of the Box Pattern.

AUDNZD is moving in an Ascending channel and the market has reached the horizontal support area of the Box Pattern.

For December, China’s Caixin Composite PMI came at 53.0 versus 51.2 expected, and Services PMI came at 53.1 versus 52.1 expected.

But Australian Markit Services PMI came at 55.1, lower than 55.7 previous reading.

Australian Markit Services PMI came at 55.1 lower than 55.7 previous reading

And Omicron variant waves spread fast in Australia but Vaccinated people were affected in meagre numbers.

That increased social distancing and tightening restrictions will be rolled back if the Omicron variant proves to be less deadly than the Delta variant.

Last Day FOMC meeting minutes make Risk aversion in Global markets, and US Dollar makes stronger than counterparties.

China’s Premier speech

China’s Premier Li Keqiang said further cuts on taxes and fees on businesses would support the Economy recovery in this pandemic time.

And Total of 8.6 trillion yuan ($1.35 trillion) taxes and fees have been cut since 2016.

Hefty scale tax and fee cut policies are the keys to macroeconomic control.

So, this type of policy only makes more Economy consumption; businesses run in pandemic times and Sales

New Zealand Dollar: US FOMC meeting minutes dragged Kiwi

GBPNZD is moving in an Ascending channel and the market has reached the Horizontal resistance area of the channel.

GBPNZD is moving in an Ascending channel and the market has reached the Horizontal resistance area of the channel 1

New Zealand Dollar dragged down after Yesterday FOMC meeting minutes makes positive for US Dollar.

FED rate hikes are possible in March 2022 as 80% of Polls study shows and FOMC members believe that the FED balance sheet got lower after rising interest rates in 2022.

Omicron variant spread is lower in New Zealand due to substantial border restrictions for foreigners to travel to Domestic regions

China’s Services and Composite PMI data were released today and printed good numbers, but nothing affected the rise in New Zealand Dollar.

Omicron variant spread is lower in New Zealand due to substantial border restrictions for foreigners to travel to Domestic regions.

Swiss Franc: Swiss Retail sales like to drop in 2022 as expected by Credit Suisse

CHFJPY is moving in an Ascending channel and the market has reached the higher high area of the channel/

CHFJPY is moving in an Ascending channel and the market has reached the higher high area of the channel

According to Credit Suisse analysis, Swiss Retail sales are expected to drop by 4.1% this year.

Food retail and Food sales have grown in 2020 and 2021 due to more lockdown in restaurants.

Food retail and Food sales have grown in 2020 and 2021 due to more lockdown in restaurants

This year is changing from crisis to pre-crisis level, so Food consumption will be lower than expected.

And Non- Food Shopping is expected to drop by 2.8% in 2022 due to more consumption in Computers and Gaming consoles, Furniture in the last year.

In 2020 Retail revenues shows 99 billion Francs, and last year like to surpass the 100 billion marks for the first time.

Swiss retail sales rose to 1.2% higher in October compared to the previous month.

Tomorrow, November, the retail sales report will publish and wait for good numbers than the previous month.


Don’t trade at your free time, instead trade the markets only when there are confirmed trade setups.

Get confirmed trade setups here: https://www.forexgdp.com/buy/

Don't trade all the time, Trade Forex only at Confirmed Setup

X