Sat, May 18, 2024

USD: US Unit Labor Costs Surge in Q1, Beat Expectations

The US Unit Labor cost increased to 4.7% in Q1 2024 and it is beat the expected 3.2% range. Labor productivity has increased to 0.30% in this quarter and output increased to 1.3%, hours increased 1% as per US labor bureau of Statistics. US Dollar index up after the news Flashed.

USDCHF is moving in Ascending channel and market has reached higher low area of the channel

USDCHF is moving in Ascending channel and market has reached higher low area of the channel

According to the latest report by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), Unit Labor Costs in the nonfarm business sector surged by 4.7% in the first quarter of 2024. This significant increase marked a notable deviation from the previous quarter, which saw no change (revised from +0.4%). Moreover, the latest figure surpassed market expectations, which had anticipated a rise of 3.2%.

money sack

The BLS press release highlighted that labor productivity in the nonfarm business sector also experienced a modest increase of 0.3% during the first quarter of 2024. This uptick in productivity was attributed to a 1.3% rise in output coupled with a 1% increase in hours worked.

USD: US unit labor cost growth surpasses Q1 forecasts

In the first quarter of 2024, the United States saw a notable rise in unit labor costs, which increased to 4.7%, surpassing the anticipated range of 3.2%. This data, released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, indicates a significant uptick in labor expenses during this period.

USD Index Market Price is moving in Ascending channel and market has reached resistance area of the channel

USD Index Market Price is moving in Ascending channel and market has reached resistance area of the channel

Concurrently, labor productivity also experienced growth, albeit at a slower pace. Productivity increased by 0.30% in the same quarter, with output expanding by 1.3%. Additionally, there was a 1% increase in hours worked, reflecting a modest rise in labor input.

The announcement of these figures had an impact on the US Dollar index, which saw an upward trend following the release of the data. This suggests that investors may interpret the increase in unit labor costs as a sign of potential inflationary pressures, influencing market sentiment towards the US currency.

In the United States, labor productivity experienced a significant slowdown in the early months of 2024, falling below expectations and leading to a notable increase in labor costs.

Economy Growth

The Department of Labor reported that labor productivity, adjusted for seasonal variations, grew by only 0.3% on a quarter-on-quarter basis during the three-month period ending in March. This figure was considerably lower than the anticipated growth rate of 0.8%, primarily due to an unexpected decline in output growth, which stood at 1.3% for the first quarter.

Meanwhile, unit labor costs, which result from subtracting productivity growth from hourly compensation, surged by 4.7% during the quarter. This exceeded market forecasts, which had projected a growth rate of 3.2%.

USD: US Q1 unit labor costs exceed expectations

In the first quarter of 2024, the United States witnessed a significant uptick in unit labor costs, rising to 4.7%, surpassing the anticipated range of 3.2%. This data, meticulously compiled and released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, sheds light on the evolving landscape of labor expenses within the country during this period.

USDCAD is moving in Ascending channel

USDCAD is moving in Ascending channel

Simultaneously, while labor costs surged, labor productivity also experienced growth, albeit at a more moderate pace. Productivity saw an uptick of 0.30% during the same quarter, with output expanding by 1.3%. Moreover, there was a discernible 1% increase in hours worked, indicative of a modest rise in labor input across various sectors of the economy.

The release of these crucial figures reverberated across financial markets, notably impacting the trajectory of the US Dollar index. Following the dissemination of this data, the US Dollar exhibited an upward trajectory, signaling a shift in market sentiment. Investors may interpret the notable increase in unit labor costs as a potential harbinger of inflationary pressures, prompting recalibrations in their assessments of the US currency and broader economic outlook.

Emotion

Previously, the unit labor costs were revised from +0.4% to 0.0%. However, in the first quarter, they surged to +4.7%, surpassing the expected +3.3% range. On the other hand, productivity only increased by +0.3%, falling short of the anticipated +0.8%. The earlier productivity figure was also revised downward from +3.2% to +3.5%.

The significant rise in unit labor costs presents a challenge for markets, particularly concerning the already mounting concerns regarding increasing wages. While the revisions to the prior figures offer some alleviation, they only provide minimal relief. It’s worth noting that these statistics can be challenging to gauge accurately and are subject to frequent revisions.


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